
CME block cheddar rose to $1.86 per pound before falling to $1.74 after news that the Farms to Families food box program would end. Blocks recovered to a $1.78 close and barrels closed at $1.69 that week.
Traders were also weighing the Global Dairy Trade auction and the upcoming March milk production report.
Loss of government food box purchases removes a demand support for dairy products, which can pressure cheese and butter prices, though the market recovered much of the drop.
After 93 past neutral policy events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.6%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.