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Corn futures have fallen about 15% from an eight-year high reached in mid-May, after that rally had lifted prices roughly 150% since August. A USDA report projected US corn inventories rising by 250 million bushels for 2021/22, above market expectations, and soybeans also retreated on better planting weather in the US Midwest.
A larger projected US carryout and competition from Argentina, Brazil and Ukraine point to weaker US corn and soybean prices, though dry Brazilian weather could limit the decline.
breakwaveadvisors.comOcean AnalyticsMay 25, 2021After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
