Scotiabank's weekly Latin America note says faster growth and higher inflation prompted forecast upgrades for Mexico and Peru, though higher base effects lead to modest downward revisions for 2022. It flags that a hawkish Fed dot plot creates a more challenging global financial backdrop for Latin American central banks.
Tighter global financial conditions and rising regional rates can pressure Latin American currencies, affecting the cost of imported feed inputs and the purchasing power of regional feed buyers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 213 past bearish macro events, USDBRL moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.