CEPM reported December corn futures fell $17/t to $223/t in the week to June 18 amid scattered rains, hail and wind. US corn condition ratings slipped to 61% good to excellent, and the market reacted to the Biden administration's possible retention of ethanol blending exemptions and the Fed's signal of rate hikes.
Biofuel exemption uncertainty and a stronger dollar weigh on US corn values, while the weather-driven condition decline provides some support ahead of the USDA acreage report.
After 310 past bearish policy events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 15 past bullish policy events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.