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Argentina's government beef export ban has pushed some farmers to consider switching corn area to soybeans, and port strikes and low river levels are challenging logistics. In Brazil, drought is cutting corn estimates, with analysts ranging from 89.68 to 101.65 MMT.
China's corn import restriction speculation has not appeared in trade data.
Brazilian drought-cut corn crop and possible Argentine acreage shifts to soybeans tighten corn export supplies, supporting corn prices, while soybean supply from Argentina is a modest offset.
grains.orgJun 3, 2021After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
