
The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 0.25% and kept its forward guidance unchanged. It adjusted its quantitative easing program to a target pace of C$2 billion per week.
The bank raised its global GDP growth view to 7% for 2021, citing stronger U.S. outlook and rising oil prices.
Stronger global growth forecasts and rising oil prices support energy-linked feed input costs, while the slower QE pace signals tighter Canadian monetary conditions over time.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.