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USDA's Cattle on Feed report showed 4.2 million head of heifers on feed, the largest since 2012 and up 14% year over year. Cold storage pork stocks in March totaled 611 million lb., up 11% from a year earlier.
Heavy heifer placements and rising beef cow slaughter signal slower herd growth and more beef supply ahead. This points to softer cattle prices over the coming months.
feedstuffs.comMay 1, 2018After 144 past bearish report events, LCATTLE moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 126 past bearish report events, FCATTLE moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 159 past bearish report events, HOGS moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The USDA Cattle on Feed report showed the largest heifers-on-feed count since 2012, signaling heavy future fed supplies and bearish pressure on futures.
Cattle on Feed showed record heifer placements, up 14% y/y, signalling larger fed supplies and bearish expectations for futures.
