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Chinese farmers have sharply expanded corn planting this year, mainly at the expense of soybeans, sorghum and edible beans. Market participants expect China's 2021/22 corn output to rise by at least 6%.
Higher Chinese corn output should reduce import demand heading into 2022, which is bearish for corn and soybean export prices. Lower soybean planting in China also points to less domestic soy supply and more reliance on imports.
reuters.comHallie GuAug 1, 2021After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
