An Investing.com analysis argues that a hawkish Federal Reserve announcement at the August Jackson Hole meeting may not be bearish for commodities. It notes hot consumer price inflation and that commodities gained over 10% in the second quarter.
The view is that inflation-driven demand for commodities could offset rate-tightening fears, leaving feed input prices supported rather than pressured.
After 78 past neutral macro events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 50 past neutral macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.