
The EIA forecasts US renewable diesel capacity will grow from 600 million gallons per year at end-2020 to 5.1 billion by 2024, citing projects such as Marathon's Martinez conversion and Phillips 66's Rodeo project. The growth allows domestic producers to displace imported renewable diesel from Neste.
Expanding domestic renewable diesel output raises demand for vegetable oil feedstocks, supporting soybean oil prices and tightening availability of fats and oils used in feed.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 149 past bullish report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.