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The Brazilian real traded sideways midweek as investors anticipated further central bank rate hikes after mid-month CPI rose 0.89% in August, above forecasts. Annualized inflation climbed to 9.3%.
Consumer confidence eased slightly as analysts linked uncertainty to the Delta variant.
Higher inflation makes additional BCB tightening more likely, which supports BRL carry, but fiscal and political risks limit the currency's upside. For feed buyers, a firmer real tends to slow Brazilian export selling of soy and corn, a modest offset to dollar-driven prices.
fxdailyreport.comDaffa ZakyAug 25, 2021After 92 past neutral macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
