
Fed Chair Jerome Powell told the Jackson Hole symposium that the timing and pace of asset-purchase tapering should not be read as a signal for when rate hikes begin. The dollar slipped after the speech, which was seen as less hawkish than some Fed officials.
A dovish-leaning Fed that separates tapering from rate hikes tends to weaken the dollar, which supports dollar-priced commodities and can firm feed input prices for importers.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.