
DAP imports into India fell about 46% from April to June 2024 as the global DAP price reached $620 per tonne, making imports unviable at government-fixed subsidy rates. Officials warn of possible shortages for the Rabi wheat season starting in October.
Higher global DAP prices and subsidy constraints reduce Indian import demand, supporting phosphate prices while raising shortage risk for farmers.
After 250 past policy events, DAP moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -0.6% to +1.3%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Same-day report that India's DAP imports fell sharply with global prices near $620/t and Rabi-season shortage risk points to tight supply and strong Indian demand, supporting a price rise.