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CoBank economist Jacqui Fatka reports that Gregg Doud expects high commodity prices through harvest 2022, with China's strong demand for protein and feed driving the market. Doud says China could come close to its $40 billion annual US ag purchase target, but tariffs of $360 billion remain and the Phase One deal expires at year-end.
Expectations of sustained Chinese feed demand support corn, soybean and meal prices, while the post-2021 tariff uncertainty adds downside risk.
farmprogress.comJacqui FatkaAug 18, 2021After 729 past bullish trade events, CORN moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, SBM moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
