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The offshore yuan weakened to its lowest level in nearly a month as concerns over property developer Evergrande's solvency unsettled markets. Safe-haven currencies, including the dollar, strengthened on the risk-off sentiment.
Risk-off moves tend to strengthen the dollar and weigh on commodity prices. The effect on feed markets is indirect and depends on whether the financial stress spreads to China's demand outlook.
reuters.comChuck MikolajczakSep 20, 2021After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
