
Soybean and soybean meal export premiums in Brazil continue to rise on firm Chinese demand, which has shifted purchases to Brazil after hurricane disruption at US Gulf ports. Soybean premiums reached their highest nominal level since November 2018, and meal premiums the highest since August 2014.
Low Paraná River levels continue to hamper Argentine exports.
Higher Brazilian export premiums and tight Argentine logistics support soybean and meal prices, with Brazilian crush margins also improving.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.