USDA's Grain Transportation Report covers the week ending September 11, when grain carloads fell 22% year over year. Weekly downbound Mississippi barge grain movements hit a record low in mid-September.
Rail auction bids, barge spot rates, ocean freight and diesel prices all trended higher in the third quarter.
Weak grain movement on rail and river reduces transport demand, but rising barge, ocean freight and diesel costs lift the cost of moving grain. The net effect is higher freight costs for buyers and wider Gulf basis.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 109 past bullish report events, DIESEL moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -3.3% to +3.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.