
Oil prices sank after the IEA forecast a 29 million barrel per day drop in April demand, to levels not seen in 25 years. The agency said no output cut could fully offset the near-term decline.
A forecast demand collapse of this scale points to a large oversupply and downward price pressure on crude. Weaker energy prices reduce biofuel economics and related feedstock demand.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.