
Strong U.S. dollar strength, driven by higher U.S. interest rates, has pressured currencies of energy-importing economies including Turkey, Brazil and South Korea. The lira had fallen about 8% since late August.
The pressure compounds the impact of high crude oil prices on these countries.
Dollar strength combined with high energy costs raises import bills and feed costs in emerging markets that buy grain and meal in dollars. This can dampen demand for feed ingredients from price-sensitive importers.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.