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President Biden signed a continuing resolution on September 30, 2021 that included $10 billion in retroactive disaster indemnity for crop, tree, and milk losses from 2020 and 2021 weather events. Eligible losses include drought, derechos, floods and freezes, with drought eligibility tied to US Drought Monitor ratings.
Disaster payments support farm incomes after weather losses, which can keep marginal producers in operation and reduce forced selling. The payments do not add to physical supply, so the direct price effect is limited.
calt.iastate.eduJennifer Harrington, Kristine TidgrenOct 8, 2021After 439 past neutral policy events, CORN moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.2%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 554 past neutral policy events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
