
The US dollar rose to an eight-week high against the yen and held near a five-week high against sterling as the Federal Reserve began its two-day policy meeting. The market had already priced in the expected tapering announcement, and the Reserve Bank of Australia struck a more dovish tone than expected.
A firmer dollar index makes US commodity exports more expensive for foreign buyers, which can weigh on futures. The tapering signal also points to tighter financial conditions ahead.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.