Itafos expects high phosphorus fertiliser prices in 2022 due to stalled production investment and China's export suspension through at least June 2022. Sulfur and ammonia prices are also expected to stay high because of strong demand and natural gas-driven plant shutdowns.
China's export halt and limited new capacity keep phosphate supply tight, supporting DAP and related input costs for feed producers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 151 past bullish policy events, DAP moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.9%), and +1.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.