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Scotiabank reports the Canadian dollar weakened to about 1.28 per US dollar as Omicron triggered risk aversion and WTI crude slid toward US$62.50 a barrel. WTI fell 21% in November, its worst month since March 2020.
Alberta's mid-year update projects stronger oil prices than previously forecast.
Sharp crude losses cut Canadian export revenue and weaken the loonie, while risk aversion favours safe-haven currencies. These moves signal weaker energy-linked demand for commodity-exporting economies.
scotiabank.comDec 4, 2021After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
