
The Chinese onshore yuan rallied to a three-year high against the dollar on the final day of 2021, trading near 6.3492 and briefly reaching 6.3404. The move came amid thin year-end liquidity after a year of robust export growth and solid investor flows.
A stronger yuan lowers the cost of dollar-priced imports for China, which can modestly support its demand for feed grains and oilseeds. The effect on prices is limited because the move was largely driven by thin liquidity.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.