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CBOT wheat has traded at its highest since 2012 as 2021/22 global ending stocks have been revised lower. ING expects supply to improve in the next season, which should push prices lower from current levels.
Stocks-to-use is estimated at 35%, the lowest since 2015/16.
Tight stocks support current prices, but expected output growth and higher plantings in 2022/23 point to a softer wheat market ahead.
think.ing.comWarren PattersonDec 10, 2021After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
