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Arkansas rice yields are nearing a record of about 169 bushels per acre for 2021. Fall weather, however, is expected to reduce milling yields and pressure final production totals.
Lower milling yields tighten the supply of milled rice and can support prices even with a strong headline yield.
After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.