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CoBank reports ethanol producers entered 2022 with record fourth-quarter profit margins, averaging $1.34 per gallon, driven by strong demand and falling natural gas prices. The report flags risks including overproduction, higher financing costs and omicron-related demand volatility.
Record margins encourage higher ethanol output and corn grind, supporting corn demand, while expected overproduction could later pressure margins and grind rates.
mnbiofuels.orgLiliana TovarJan 18, 2022After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 62 past bearish report events, Natural Gas moved a median -3.0% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -7.6% to +4.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
