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The Canadian dollar weakened against the US dollar as oil fell nearly 8% to about $104.84 a barrel on fears of weaker Chinese fuel demand from Shanghai COVID lockdowns. Markets priced in aggressive global rate hikes, with a 50 basis point Bank of Canada move in April seen at nearly 80% odds.
Lower crude and a firmer dollar pressure commodity-linked currencies, while expected aggressive BoC hikes support the loonie over time.
brecorder.comReutersMar 29, 2022After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
