The Bank of Canada raised its policy rate to 2.50%, its first increase since 2023, to counter high energy prices. Canada lost 68,300 jobs in September and unemployment rose to 6.5%, with the public sector shrinking sharply.
Rate hikes into a weakening labor market can slow Canadian demand and weigh on CAD, while energy-driven inflation keeps input and freight costs elevated for feed buyers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.