
Ocean and US barge freight rates are climbing as rising crude prices and the war in Ukraine push costs up. USDA data show U.S. Gulf to Japan grain freight at $79 per tonne, 70% above the four-year average.
Barge spot rates have also skyrocketed as demand for U.S. grain substitutes for Black Sea supplies.
Higher ocean freight raises landed costs for importers of U.S. feed grains and meal, which can shift buying toward other origins and support U.S. export basis discounts. Energy-linked fuel costs also feed through to freight.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 26 past bullish logistics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.2% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -5.1% to +9.5%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.