
Oil rose to its highest level since 2011 on Wednesday as Russia's war in Ukraine escalated. OPEC and its allies, including Russia, chose to keep production unchanged despite prices above $100.
Brent traded above $113 and WTI above $112 intraday before both settled higher.
OPEC's decision to hold output while buyers shun Russian crude leaves the market short of supply, which keeps energy and freight costs elevated for feed producers. Higher crude also supports vegetable oil and biofuel prices.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.