
DTN reports that the US hard red winter wheat cash price hit a record $13.15 per bushel in early May due to Southern Plains drought and weather and geopolitical problems across major growing regions. USDA projects 2022-23 ending stocks at the top eight exporters falling to 2 billion bushels, the lowest since 2013-14.
Tightening exporter stocks point to sustained higher wheat prices, which raise feed costs and push buyers toward cheaper substitutes.
After 180 past bullish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.