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China's statistics bureau reported Q1 2022 pork output of 15.61 million tons, up 14% year on year, and a swine herd of 422.53 million head at end-March, down 5.94% from end-2021. Government frozen pork purchases for the state reserve have totaled almost 200,000 tons this year.
High Chinese hog output alongside weak domestic demand from COVID lockdowns points to lower pork prices and reduced pork import demand, which is bearish for hog markets and feed demand, though a smaller herd offers some hope of price support.
ukragroconsult.comMay 6, 2022After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
