
The European Commission cut EU soft wheat, durum and winter barley yields for a third straight month, with soft wheat at 5.76 t/ha versus 5.84 five-year average. Analysts estimate 2022 output could be about 125.5 million tonnes, nearly 5 million below the current estimate.
Spain and Baltic regions face weather-related damage.
Shrinking EU wheat and barley supply strengthens the case for higher prices and tighter feed grain availability for European buyers.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.