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High grain prices and demand following Russia's invasion of Ukraine are raising grain export volumes from North and South America and increasing Panamax cargo demand. The spot rate for US Gulf to north China grain was $80/t, up over 23% since the invasion began.
Freight rates for grain Panamax routes hit record highs in the weeks after the war began.
Stronger Americas export flows and record freight costs tighten the availability of corn and wheat for importers and raise delivered feed costs. Shipping cost increases feed through into import prices.
ukragroconsult.comJun 9, 2022After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
