◂ Event Timeline

Oct 31, 2026WEATHERVietnam

Vietnam Rice Rally Pushes Asian Export Market Toward Tighter Phase

Vietnamese 5% broken rice rose to $470-480/t FOB, up from $440-450/t a week earlier and the highest since January 2025. Indian quotes held firm at $387-394/t amid thin Vietnamese old-crop stocks and expected Philippine demand.

WHY IT MATTERS

Thin exportable Vietnamese supply and a strong El Niño outlook into 2027 point to higher Asian rice floors and costlier import procurement.

AFFECTSRough Rice▲

SOURCE
agriinsite.comCMB NewsOct 31, 2026

Price reaction & history

Rough Rice▲bullishSO FAR1d +2.7%5d —20d —

After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.

Jul 31, 2026Asia rice: Tighter supplies, crop concerns push Indian rice export prices higher+3.1%
Jun 15, 2023Asia rice: Vietnam rice prices jump on low supply; traders flag El Nino risks - Markets - Business Recorder-0.1%
Oct 11, 2023Asia Rice Market Braces for More Stress From El Niño After Export Curbs - Bloomberg-0.1%
Mar 12, 2020Asia Rice-Thai drought raises supply jitters, Vietnam rates at over 1-yr high+10.1%
Mar 11, 2024Vietnam’s rice exports projected to decline amid quality shift+1.8%

Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.

Rough Rice RICE · GP ▸

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