
USDA set the July 2022 Federal order Class III benchmark at $22.52 per hundredweight, down $1.81 from June but $6.03 above July 2021. It is the lowest Class III price since March.
Class III futures pointed to August around $20.02 and a 2022 average near $21.68.
The lower Class III benchmark signals softer demand for milk used in cheese, which reduces the price support for dairy-based feed inputs. Futures suggest further easing through the rest of the year.
After 273 past bearish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.4%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.