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The USDA's November Class III milk price was $17.18/cwt, up 27 cents from October and $2.77 lower year on year. The November Class IV price was $13.89, the lowest since February 2021.
Commodity and Ingredient Hedging warned that dairy margins kept eroding as milk prices hit new lows while feed costs held steady or softened.
Milk futures are under heavy pressure from rising production, and USDA has raised its 2026 milk output estimate, which points to weaker milk prices. Lower farm margins may also reduce dairy herd and feed-buying demand.
thefencepost.comLee MielkeDec 15, 2025After 273 past bearish report events, MILK moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.4%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
