
Union workers and Class I railroads have until September 16 to reach a deal and avoid stoppages. The Presidential Emergency Board recommended a 24% compounded wage increase over five years and $1,000 yearly service-recognition bonuses.
Agricultural shippers say unreliable rail service has frustrated them for one to two years.
Unreliable rail service already constrains grain movement, and a strike during harvest would tighten logistics for feed ingredients. That could keep origin prices weak while delivered feed costs stay elevated.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, CORN moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.