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DTN analyst Todd Hultman notes that speculative long positions in KC wheat fell to a seven-year low on economic worries and Ukrainian shipping concerns. He also cites China's national drought alert and a series of production problems, including fertilizer supply, for 2022.
A cluster of drought, fertilizer and shipping problems raises the risk of tighter world grain supplies, which could support higher feed grain prices later in the crop year.
dtnpf.comTodd HultmanAug 26, 2022After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
