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Splash247 analysts report that grain tonne-mile demand has fallen sharply this year due to the lack of Black Sea cargoes and weaker Chinese demand. They expect improvement as firm Chinese US soybean purchases and a possible record Brazilian crop emerge.
Low Mississippi water levels have cut US river volumes by more than 20% this month.
Firm Chinese soybean buying supports US export demand and freight, while the Mississippi drought constrains grain movement and may pressure Gulf-linked prices.
splash247.comSplashOct 25, 2022After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
