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Investors turned net short the dollar for the first time since July 2021, according to CFTC data, after a softer-than-expected October US inflation report. The positioning shift reflects expectations the Federal Reserve could slow its tightening pace.
Bearish dollar positioning tends to support dollar-priced commodities, though it is a positioning update rather than a new policy shift.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.