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Indian wheat prices hit a record 26,500 rupees a tonne, up nearly 27% since the May export ban, as market arrivals slowed. The government is considering releasing state reserves and cutting the 40% import tax to cool prices.
Rising Indian domestic wheat prices and possible import tax cuts could increase India's wheat import demand, supporting global wheat prices.
After 182 past bullish policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.