
The European Central Bank raised its deposit rate to 2% from 1.5%, a 50 basis point move that was widely expected. It said rates would need to rise further and laid out plans to shrink its balance sheet by about 15 billion euros a month from March 2023.
Tighter euro-zone policy supports the euro against the dollar and raises financing costs for the region's economy, which can soften demand for feed and other imports over time. The effect on grain prices is indirect.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.