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The ECB raised its deposit rate by 50 basis points to 2%, its fourth increase of the year, and signalled further hikes. It also set out plans to stop replacing maturing bonds from its 5 trillion euro portfolio.
A hawkish ECB supports the euro and tightens global financial conditions, which can weigh on commodity demand. The effect on feed markets is mainly through currency and growth channels.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.