The baht opened at 33.10 per dollar on January 13, 2023, stronger than the prior close of 33.36. Krungthai attributed the move to a softer-than-expected US CPI report, which pushed bets toward a smaller Fed rate hike.
WTI crude traded near $78 and Brent near $83.8 per barrel.
Expectations of a smaller Fed hike weaken the dollar and lower the baht cost of dollar-priced feed imports. The baht move is a routine market reading with modest direct effect on feed commodities.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.