
The dollar pared gains after US Employment Cost Index data showed labour costs rose 1.0% in the fourth quarter, slower than expected. Fed funds futures priced the benchmark rate peaking at 4.93% in June, with investors seeing cuts to 4.48% by December ahead of a expected 25 basis point hike.
Softer wage data eases inflation fears and lowers the dollar, a mildly supportive factor for dollar-priced grain and oilseed markets.
After 47 past bearish report events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (34% higher; middle half -0.8% to +0.2%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.