
An IFPRI analysis finds that global food and feed export restrictions peaked at nearly 17% of trade in May 2022 and fell to about 7% by mid-July. The authors say the restrictions have eased, but concerns remain for some key commodities.
They examine the effects of these measures on prices and supplies.
Easing trade restrictions reduce supply shocks in global grain and feed markets, which lowers price volatility, though remaining curbs still carry risk.
After 468 past policy events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.0% to +2.0%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,019 past policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.