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Indian fertiliser companies have asked the government for permission to raise maximum retail prices of non-urea fertilisers such as DAP and NPK, citing higher input costs. Any revision is unlikely soon because of state assembly elections.
A possible retail price increase would signal firmer DAP prices in India, though the government's reluctance limits the likely impact.
After 151 past bullish policy events, DAP moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.9%), and +1.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.