Loading…
A Frontiers paper reports that since 2020 pandemic, geopolitical disputes, trade wars and fuel prices drove a more than 400% rise in phosphorus commodity prices. It argues the Russia-Ukraine conflict further disrupted phosphate trade and that nations are largely unaware of their phosphorus vulnerability.
Persistent phosphorus vulnerability supports higher fertilizer and phosphate costs over time, which feeds into crop production costs. This is an academic analysis of past price moves rather than a fresh supply shock.
frontiersin.orgWill J. Brownlie, Mark A. Sutton, Dana Cordell, Dave S. Reay, Kate V. HealMar 1, 2023After 66 past bullish report events, DAP moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.7%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
